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To reverse a years of compromising total element productivity, local labour market policy is shifting from basic job creation to handling active labor force shifts. Governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to equip workers for emerging roles. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style paths are becoming more typical as firms integrate AI tools into everyday workflows.
With oil rates anticipated to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional federal governments are magnifying their concentrate on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Financial policy is pivoting towards the monetisation of state-owned possessions in logistics, utilities, and desalination to reroute funds toward higher-impact financial investments. While borrowing through sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to money strategic deficits, the focus remains on strengthening non-oil profits frameworks.
PwC Middle East financial policy and strategy partner Jing Teow said: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now concentrated on shipment. In 2026, the priority is enhancing economic strength through more safe and secure trade and investment relationships, reliable AI deployment, handled labor force transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more challenging and fragmented international environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's economic expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, resistant domestic need and renewed financial investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to outshine most global areas peers next year, with regional GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is forecasted to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and rising investment in innovation and AI-related infrastructure.
Although oil profits will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is anticipated to increase once again in the second half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will remain a major contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by industrial expansion and policy reforms, consisting of eased foreign ownership guidelines that intend to stimulate further financial investment. The fiscal deficit is forecasted to expand to 5.6% of GDP next year amid softer oil rates, while the recent five-year lease freeze in Riyadh intends to alleviate inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise placed for another strong year of performance, with GDP projection to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourism, trade and monetary services stay crucial development chauffeurs, supported by population growth and sustained domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to get again in the second half of 2026, complementing ongoing investment in facilities, innovation and global trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook strengthens how far the GCC has been available in building diverse, resilient and globally competitive economies.
Winning the Hearts and Minds of UAE TalentScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Financial Expert and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, said: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are entering 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring pace, supported by robust need and increasing investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to benefit from strong domestic basics, a sharp uplift in government spending and sustained diversity efforts.
Winning the Hearts and Minds of UAE TalentWhat identifies 2026 from preceding years is not merely the velocity of technological modification, though that acceleration is genuine, however rather an essential shift in how enterprises envisage their GCCs' purpose. The is expected to grow to four hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this development masks a more profound improvement.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss duty, and add to competitive differentiation. In 2026, the most effective GCCs will act like internal start-ups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with worldwide organization outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most considerable strategic recalibration in the GCC design's development.
This week, we're convening more than 3000 conferences in between investors and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're bringing together investors, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the region, and what comes next, including the expansion and continuous development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing function in global networks of capital and trade.
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