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Instead of marking a cyclical rebound, 2026 is significantly viewed as a combination year, in which diversification-led development ends up being more deeply embedded in the region's economic model, decreasing dependence on hydrocarbons and increasing durability to external shocks. Projections from significant organizations broadly converge on a stronger GCC development profile in 2026 than in 2025, supported by durable domestic demand, continued non-oil growth, and (to varying degrees) a firmer hydrocarbon contribution.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

3.2 percent growth in 2025, accelerating to 4.5 percent in 2026. Sees momentum improving, with GCC output growth forecasted to rise from 1.7 percent in 2024 to 3.3 percent on average in 2025, showing a shift toward more positive general conditions.

The IMF's World Economic Outlook (October 2025) jobs international growth relieving to 3.1 percent in 2026, with sophisticated economies around 1.5 percent and emerging market and establishing economies just above 4 percent. On that contrast, a 4.44.5 percent GCC expansion would put the area materially ahead of the world average and slightly above (or broadly in line with) the emerging-market aggregate, reinforcing the GCC's status as a fairly high-growth pocketprovided that regional threat conditions stay consisted of and reform momentum holds.

Data from the GCC Statistical Center reveal that non-oil sectors currently account for more than 73 percent of total GDP, a share that has continued to increase as federal governments expand investment in services, facilities, and innovation. According to Oxford Economics, non-energy activity throughout the GCC is predicted to grow by around 4.1 percent in 2026, supported by strong labor markets, enhancing credit conditions, and rising financial investment in technology and AI-related facilities.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

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Public-sector investment and reform stay central to sustaining this pattern. Policy steps intended at drawing in foreign direct financial investment, reducing foreign ownership guidelines, broadening capital markets, and supporting private-sector participation continue to underpin non-oil expansion and decrease the region's exposure to oil rate volatility. While hydrocarbons no longer dominate the development outlook, oil profits are expected to play a supportive function in 2026.

Oxford Economics anticipates Brent crude prices to fall below USD 60 per barrel in early 2026, restricting the near-term contribution of oil extraction to GDP. Oil supply is forecast to increase again in the second half of the year, with a full unwinding of remaining production caps likely by mid-2027.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

Macroeconomic conditions throughout the GCC remain broadly encouraging of development. Inflation is expected to remain low, with the IMF forecasting average inflation of 2 percent across the area in 2026. Steady prices are helping maintain genuine home incomes and underpin customer spending, which Oxford Economics expects to grow by approximately 3.5 percent over 20262027.